These are the Deal Evaluation System — Core models referenced in Don't Buy That Business — the same system included with your book, delivered here digitally.
Start with Model 01. Run it before you read the CIM, before you meet the seller, before you form any opinion about the business.
Five Core Models. Use these top to bottom. The goal is not to confirm a deal. The goal is to expose whether it deserves more time, more work, or any capital at all. Most deals are rejected at Model 01 or 02. That is not failure. That is the system working correctly.
Evaluates structural strength independent of operator skill. Run this before modeling any cash flow.
Converts broker EBITDA into true cash available to you as the buyer. 7 normalization steps.
Probability-weighted returns across multiple scenarios including severe downside. Not just base case.
Quantifies residual debt exposure relative to your at-risk net worth if the business fails.
Aggregates all four model outputs into a single Five Gates decision view. The final go/no-go summary.
The Extended System is the complete workflow.
The Deal Evaluation System — Extended adds the full execution layer: CIM intake, normalization, DSCR stress testing, working capital modeling, scenario building, workbook, and completed sample case. Everything you need to evaluate any deal from CIM to go/no-go.
One bad deal costs $360,000+. Deal Evaluation System — Extended costs $175.
